1. – Assistant Professor, Maharaja Surajmal Institute, Janak Puri, New Delhi, India.
| Received
07-Jan-2013 |
Accepted
- |
Published
07-Jan-2013 |
Abstract
The crises of US had led to shocks and
collapses in many countries. This paper intends to
study the impact of recession on efficiency and volatility
of Indian stock market. This paper uses the closing
prices of all the major indices of NSE and BSE to
represent Indian stock market. For efficiency, ACF test
and run test were applied. EGARCH-M model is used
to study the impact of recession on volatility of stock
market. The insignificant coefficient of variance in
conditional mean equation of EGARCH-M implies that
the market doesn’t provide higher returns during the
high volatility period. The results of EGARCH-M model
showed that effect of bad news on stock market volatility
has become insignificant for most of the indices in
recession period. There is increase in the persistence
of volatility. The result of ACF test reported efficiency
in CNX 100, S&P CNX Defty, S&P CNX 500, BSE100,
BSE 200 and BSE 500 during recession. While the run
test reported weak form efficiency in returns of S&P
CNX Nifty, CNX Nifty Junior, CNX 100, S&P CNX 500
and CNX Midcap and weak form inefficiency in S&P
CNX Defty, BSE200 and BSE 500 in recession period.
Originality/value: This paper will be useful for both
investors and regulators in decision making.
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